Doing the numbers: what you need to know about oil depletion

I looked at the scale of the problem, and I looked at our response (not much so far), and I came, broadly, to this conclusion. We might screw it up. Oh, it is possible that I’m underestimating human ingenuity, and that we’ll do everything right. On the other hand, it seemed like having some kind of contingency plan for a scenario in which we did not replace all our energy infrastructure rapidly, where we did face tight supplies, volatile prices and perhaps an economic depression, in part created by our situation was a good idea. … And I have to say, learning that [the IEA estimated] the decline rate is 9.1% makes me feel that my strategy has mostly been the right one. Because that’s a huge and shocking number.

Peak oil – Nov 1

Survey: Geologists predict that oil production will decline within a decade
ASPO newsletter for November
ASPO VII – second day
Peak oil: are oil prices destined to rise again?

The oil crunch: Securing the UK’s energy future

Declining availability of oil will hit the UK earlier than generally expected, with potentially devastating implications for the UK economy, according to a report from a UK industry taskforce. “We sought two opinions on oil-supply risk, one from an oil-industry expert known as a leading advocate of the early-peak scenario [Chris Skrebowski], and the second from Royal Dutch Shell, who we expected might advocate a more sanguine prognosis.” (Excerpts)