Deep thought – Aug 3

Harvard Business Review: Six rules for effective forecasting
The island of Naura- poster child for resource depletion
Focus on carbon ‘missing the point’
The terrifying prospect of a post-oil future: no more ready meals, traffic jams or lonely nights in front of TV
JM Greer’s fiction about the deindustrialzed future

Tensions around North Pole hydrocarbons raise the specter of new (bitter) Cold War.

The technological problems of drafting arctic oil and gas into human service have not even been solved, the ecological fallout of this course of action hardly addressed, but already huge sums of money are committed for grabbing control and potential revenues.