Peak oil versus peak exports

At the recent (2010) ASPO-USA conference, we reviewed, in our presentation on net oil exports, two examples of production peaks in oil producing regions. We also reviewed “Net Export Math” and we looked at some examples of net export declines. Finally, we reviewed our projections for net oil exports from the top five net oil exporters in 2005, followed by two scenarios for global net oil exports. In this paper we will briefly review the highlights of our presentation.

Talkin’ triage

“Don’t waste your breath” needs to become a mantra in the peak oil and sustainability communities. The season for arguing with peak oil and climate change deniers has long since passed. Our time is too precious and the need to act too urgent. The time has come for talkin’ triage.

The Witch of Hebron and the myth of post-peak oil uniformity

The witch of Hebron, herself a prostitute, is a beautiful, charming, intelligent caricature, overly-idealized by Kunstler who argues that in a post-collapse world, the rights of women and minorities, so dramatically achieved in the twentieth century, will become virtually extinct in a “world made by hand”.

Energy and food constraints will collapse global economic recovery

We are failing at even the most basic risk management. The real-time convergence of peak oil, peak food, and severe instabilities in the global economy may terminally collapse the systems upon which we depend for our basic welfare. The principal risk management challenge is not about how we introduce the energy infrastructure and conservation measures to maintain those systems, but about how we deal with the consequences of their collapse.