Energy Policy

Peak oil – July 10

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– Peak Oil Reloaded (1/2)
– « Nier l’imminence du pic pétrolier est une erreur tragique », dit l’ancien expert pétrolier de l’AIE
– Nicole Foss: The Guardian Is Ignoring The Critical Paradox Of Peak Oil
– The world is oil rich so let’s all enjoy it while we are here
– How Many Years Of Oil Do We Have Left To Run Our Industrial Civilization, Keeping In Mind That Oil Is A Resource And Has An Economical End?
– Europa am Peak
– Le altre fossili, la sfida dello shale

Peak oil oppositional disorder: neurosis or psychosis?

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What happens to individuals also happens to entire societies. Take a neurotic Peak Oil-denying industrial civilization, put it through a terrible global financial crisis, tell it that economic growth is over forever, and what you get a psychotic, delusional industrial civilization.

How changing the definition of oil has deceived both policymakers and the public

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Everyone knows that world oil production has been running between 88 and 89 million barrels per day (mbpd) this year because government, industry and media sources tell us so. As it turns out, what everyone knows is wrong.

It’s wrong not because the range quoted above can’t be found in official sources. It’s wrong because the numbers include things which are not oil such as natural gas plant liquids and biofuels. If you strip these other things out, then world oil production has been running around 75 mbpd this year.

Peak oil – July 7

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– Jeremy Leggett: Monbiot says he was wrong on peak oil but the crisis is undeniable
– Peak Oil Reloaded
– Oil and Illusions
– ‘Unser Öl’: Warum unser Sprit nie wieder billig wird
– In the valley of the shadow of peak oil
– Civilization and the Price of Oil

Resilience through simplification: revisiting Tainter’s theory of collapse (part 1)

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While Tainter’s theory of social complexity has much to commend it, in this paper I wish to examine and ultimately challenge Tainter’s conclusion that voluntary simplification is not a viable path to sustainability. In fact, I will argue that it is by far our best bet, even if the odds do not provide grounds for much optimism. Moreover, should sustainability prove too ambitious a goal for industrial civilisation, I contend that simplification remains the most effective means of building ‘resilience’ (i.e. the ability of an individual or community to withstand societal or ecological shocks)

The last ASPO conference

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While I feel this conference [in Vienna] was disappointing in general, the organisers are not to blame. They did their best and produced the programme that had to be, with ASPO opening itself to the wider society. But after 10 years of activity ASPO’s message has failed to pass. Policy makers, climatologists, the energy industry, by and large are all yet to fully acknowledge the problem and its implications.

Peak Denial

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Evidently growing public concern about the inevitable decline in world oil production has rankled some powerful people, who’ve been knotting their ropes in search of a bit of favorable data to use as the pretext for a public lynching…The Peak Oil debate is not a sporting event. What matters is not which side wins, but what reality awaits us.