Peak oil review – March 7
A weekly roundup of peak oil news, including:
-Oil and the global economy
-the Saudis besieged
-China’s National People’s Congress
-Quote of the week
-Briefs
A weekly roundup of peak oil news, including:
-Oil and the global economy
-the Saudis besieged
-China’s National People’s Congress
-Quote of the week
-Briefs
We are not running out of oil yet. We have, however, reached an apparent limit to the amount of oil that we can produce every day. That is because newly discovered fields are, at best, replacing supply from older declining and depleted fields.
Commoning represents a “third way”—not locked into the profit-driven mechanics of the market nor solely dependent on government agencies—that enables everyday citizens to actively make decisions and take actions that shape their future of their communities. Although most folks who do it, probably don’t call it “commoning”— they simply think of it as “common sense” or the “common good”.
As an academic economist I find I am living in interesting times. Yes, really. The profession is in crisis, and much blame is being laid at the door of those who teach politicians how the economy works, and who engage in research to support this teaching. The fact that the financial crisis was predicted only by dissident economists, and the lamentable failure of mainstream economists to explain what has happened, much less provide solutions, has led to severe criticism.
It’s worth noting that the energy content of the human food supply is about a sixth of the energy content of the human fuel supply (about 86 mbd of liquid fuels, equivalent to somewhere in the neighborhood of 120-130mbd of ethanol). This is the core problem with converting food to fuel – we are taking from a small pool to try to make up for deficiencies in a large pool, and we will have a much bigger effect on the level of the small pool than the bigger pool.
Organic will be the conventional agriculture of the future, not because of wishful thinking or because it is the right thing to do, or because of some universal truth revealed from on high.
A society is not as simple as a balloon but it can easily explode in revolutions, collapse, breakdowns, civil wars and all sort of rapid and unpredictable changes. Societies, it seems, are fragile, at least in terms of the stability of their governments. This behavior looks normal to us because we have seen it happening many times. But, just as for balloons, it is difficult to explain exactly why societies “explode.”
There are reports that the unrest in the Middle East has spread to the Sultanate of Oman. While at the moment there have been only one or perhaps two deaths, small in number relative to the larger number of fatalities in countries like Libya, such a milepost, nevertheless, is sadly likely to indicate that the situation will get much worse. … Oman is not a member of OPEC, but contains the largest oil reserves of any country outside that group in the Middle East.
– Robert Fisk: America’s secret plan to arm Libya’s rebels
– Venezuela and Libya
– NYT: A Libyan Leader at War With Rebels, and Reality
– Fisk: Saudis mobilise thousands of troops to quell growing revolt
– Steve LeVine: The specter of flaming oil ports
– The Arab Spring
– Yemen: Scale of rebellion ‘impossible to predict’
– McKibben, Greenpeace, RAN: We need big, brash, nonviolent climate protests. Are you in?
– Facebook and Twitter are just places revolutionaries go
– Controversialization: A Key to the Right’s Continuing Domination of Public Debates
– 2011 is 1848 Redux. But Worse
Traders have adopted a new yardstick for oil security, and it’s influencing the abrupt climb of oil prices. Call it the Flaming Oil Port Index. It’s a notional appreciation of how many more OPEC countries may see fighting, taking their oil production with them.