Peak oil notes – Dec 23
A mid-weekly roundup of peak oil news, including:
-Developments this week
-China
Oil
Iceberg economies and shadow selves
As 2010 ends, what really interests me aren’t the corrosions and failures of this system, but the way another system, another invisible hand, is always at work in what you could think of as the great, ongoing, Manichean arm-wrestling match that keeps our planet spinning. The invisible claw of the market may fail to comprehend how powerful the other hand — the one that gives rather than takes — is, but neither does that open hand know itself or its own power. It should. We all should.
Energy – Dec 23
– CERA’s Yergin: US gas demand should fall for good after ’06 peak
– The Global Oil Diet: a graphic view
– Subsidy Cuts in Iran
– Iran Stops Fuel Delivery, Afghanistan Says, and Prices Are Rising
Somewhat personal – Dec 23
– Hans Noeldner: Peace on Earth / Human legs
– Dr. David Fleming: a tribute
– Songs of Petroleum – Jan Lundberg’s Autobiography
– Space Enough and Time: An Expat’s Siberian Experience
Top 10 peak oil stories of 2010
The biggest stories of 2010 were financial. But you could say that the continuing Great Recession, the deficit debate, and more and more mortgage defaults were really stories of energy-driven economic crisis. This year also had plenty of big stories directly on energy, including some breakthroughs on peak oil. Here are our top picks. It’s a highly subjective list; so please chime in with any stories you think we left off.
World oil production – Looking for clues as to what may be ahead
If we look at a graph of historical world oil production, we see a somewhat bumpy production pattern with two major price spikes (in 2009 $)–one peaking in 1981 and one peaking in 2008. The first spike in prices occurred when Persian Gulf production dropped starting in 1980, so seems to be oil supply related. The second spike occurred when world oil production would not rise above a bumpy plateau, despite rising demand, in the 2005 to 2008 period. In this post, I will show some breakdowns that I think give a little insight into our current situation.
Peak oil review – Dec 20
A weekly roundup of peak oil news, including:
-Oil and the global economy
-Iran
-US Natural Gas
-China
-Briefs
“Fuel demand continues to strengthen, a positive sign for the economy.”
– John Felmy, Chief API economist
Playing the risk game (2 of 2)
“Latent conditions in technology and organisation can exist for a significant time, waiting for circumstances to line up that create a calamitous accident. … A systemic perspective is essential to shed light on the complex interplay of actions and how the loss might have been prevented.”
Christmas plan for a peak oil pilgrim
Christmas comes but once a year and its excesses pack a crippling punch. Then there’s all those “so what’s new in your world” conversations. Bringing up peak oil feels tricky. How to cope? Let me count the ways…
Will 2011 be a rerun of 2008?
We all remember the oil price run-up (and run back down) of 2008. Now, with prices similar to where they were in the fall of 2007, the question quite naturally arises as to whether we are headed for another similar scenario.
Peak empire
Now that global peak oil is history perhaps it’s time to work on predicting peak empire instead. If you followed the work of Joseph Tainter, he offered the theory of diminishing and eventually negative marginal return to territorial growth and complexity of societies.
300 years of fossil fuels and not one bad gal: Peak oil, women’s history and everyone’s future
Post-Carbon and Heinberg are telling a critical story – but the actors they need to engage, all the hands they want on deck are not engaged, because they aren’t part of the tale. That needs to change.
