ODAC Guest Commentary – Where has it all gone wrong?

Last year’s ‘bêtes noires’ were private equity funds. They had seen the light in terms of leverage and were using debt to fund major acquisitions, taking advantage of ridiculously low credit spreads and getting tax relief on their interest payments into the bargain. The Danish government’s corporation tax revenues fell by an estimated 12% when a consortium of private equity firms bought the Danish telecom operator, TDC for over Euros10bn. Too late, the Danish – and German – governments have introduced legislation to limit corporate tax relief on debt interest.

A recipe for disaster

Signs of an economic meltdown are springing up all around us. The U.S. is almost certainly in a recession now, but the worst is yet to come.
Over the next year we’re going to learn a lot about global oil demand and prices.

The expected economic impact of an energy downturn

We live in a finite world, and we are reaching limits in many ways – easy to extract oil is being exhausted, fresh water is in increasingly short supply, and climate change caused by human activity is becoming more of an issue. Because of these constraints, it is likely that economic growth will stagnate and eventually decline. [Transcript of a talk]