The evolution of Transition in the U.S.

Transition is not a movement for bringing about change. Change is coming, with us or without us, whether we want it or not — profound change. Transition is a movement for preparing our communities for the changes that are coming. And our preparation is likely to crumble unless we are able to connect with and cultivate the aliveness, the wholeness, the healing, and the sacredness that underlies the Transition process.

Towards a kinder gentler (smaller) Oil Drum

For the past 5 years, The Oil Drum has been a home base for many high level discussions about the details and implications surrounding an early peak in global crude oil production as well as topics on society and energy in general. The entire site was started, and continued, by volunteers, in what might be described as a loose anarchy glued by social capital… In many ways our initial mission is over. The fact that oil depletion is real and urgent is no longer a 3+ standard deviation viewpoint (see recent IEA World Energy Outlook). However, thorough understanding of the nuances and importance of energy in our lives is still not widespread. [This article describes] our plans on how best TOD can play a role in the ongoing energy debate

Review of National Commission Working Paper #6, “Stopping the Macondo spill”

From the report: “The containment story thus contains two parallel threads. First, on April 20, the oil and gas industry was unprepared to respond to a deepwater blowout, and the federal government was similarly unprepared to provide meaningful supervision.

Second, in a compressed timeframe, BP was able to design, build, and use new containment technologies, while the federal government was able to develop effective oversight capacity. Those impressive efforts, however, were made necessary by the failure to anticipate a subsea blowout in the first place.”

A parent’s dilemma: preparing a child for an uncertain future

Quite suddenly it was clear to me that the ‘endless growth’ model of western civilization was coming to an end and that this process would only be exacerbated by the effects of climate change. This time, it wasn’t just my own future that needed re-thinking, it was my son’s as well.

ODAC Newsletter – Nov 26

Economic recovery may look anaemic, especially against the backdrop of the Eurozone crisis, but measured in CO2 the downturn is over. After falling by 1.3% in 2009, global emissions are set to bounce 3% this year. Worse, the emissions cuts pledged at Copenhagen last year fall 40% short of what’s needed to limit warming to 2 degrees and avoid runaway climate change…

Neither apocalypse nor paradise

Thanks to Dave Ewolt for his response to my piece “Peak oil risks becoming an apolcalyptic cult.” I would like to respond to some of his excellent points. I agree that peak oil and climate change are grave threats to human civilization. I hope things will turn out as rosy as Dave seems to think. But I am sure that to help things turn out as well as they can, peak oil and climate activists need to do a much better job reaching out to the mainstream. To start with, it’s time to go beyond telling stories of either societal collapse or re-localized paradise.

Can energy retrofit loans bring wonderful life to economy?

America is beginning to look a lot like the dark “Pottersville” vision in Frank Capra’s “It’s a Wonderful Life”. Jimmy Stewart’s character George Bailey is shown a town where the middle class has been destroyed and lives in poverty under the thumb of evil Big Banker Henry Potter. Bailey’s heroic efforts to help the middle class saved Bedford Falls. America can help the middle class prepare for energy shortages with energy retrofit loans — or funnel billions to Potter-like promoters of Too Big to Fail energy projects. Where’s that angel Clarence when we need him most?

Peak Oil: Apocalypse or Promised Land?

If we can’t honestly admit that staying the course means slamming into a brick wall at high-speed before the wreckage sails over a very high cliff we won’t make the necessary changes to do any more than stave off the inevitable–at best. The reality of the global situation today is that if you’re not scared, you’re not paying attention.

The IEA’s new peak

For two weeks now the peak oil portion of cyberspace has been abuzz with commentary on the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) newly released World Energy Outlook 2010. Without missing a beat and without much explanation, the world’s leading compiler of everything about energy has gone from denying that conventional oil production will peak in our lifetime to saying it happened four years ago. Will wonders never cease!