A Struggle of Paradigms

The failures of understanding that so often stymie communication in discussions of the future of industrial society unfold from the most basic models we use to make sense of our experience. Maybe it’s time to address those models and their implications directly, instead of assuming — incorrectly — that those who talk about the future are all talking about the same thing.

The schizophrenic dance of hope & fear

In this weekend’s New York Times Magazine, there’s a lengthy article on the relatively recent arrival of the Transition Town movement to the United States, focusing on organizing efforts in the small, town of Sandpoint, in the very northern tip of Idaho. Despite some flaws, I think the article is quite valuable, and for one reason… the descriptions of what I believe are very healthy, very human tensions between hope and fear.

Blessing or a burden: population, reproduction and the demographic imagination

Whatever methods of restraint we eventually enact – and I think we will enact them, so let them be good ones, that lead to a justice and honorable society – we must begin from this – every child that we have, every birth is a gift, and if our gifts are fewer than in past years, we must only treasure them the more.

Peak People: The Interrelationship between Population Growth and Energy Resources

This paper investigates the link between population growth, energy resources and carrying capacity at a global level, to determine if there might be dependencies and if so, how they could be modelled. Different qualities of energy resources may interact differently with population growth. Finally the implications of a peak in energy resource availability on population growth are examined.