Consumption & Demand

Whither The Oil Drum?

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A few short years ago, in 2005 when I started contributing here, it seemed that people could generally be partitioned into 3 main groups regarding their views about Peak Oil. By far the smallest group were those calling for a near term (<2012) peak in global oil production. A larger, and definitively more vocal and deeper pocketed group (including IHS, CERA, most Wall St. firms and energy agencies) were in the “peak oil is not real” or “peak oil is post 2020 at a minimum” camps. But by far the largest % of the population were oblivious to these debates on oils peak, unaware of the possibility and/or importance of a potential peak and decline in our socioeconomic hemoglobin.

China and the world – Oct 2

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-Communist China celebrates 60th anniversary with instruments of war and words of peace
-China vows to crack down on industrial overcapacity
-China, U.S. risk rifts in Middle East: former Chinese envoy
-Nigeria and China’s oil deal still a secret
-Parades and protests mark China’s National Day

Food & agriculture – Oct 1

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-Mark Thurstain-Goodwin Responds to Colin Tudge on ‘Can Totnes and District Feed Itself?
-Under the Clinton Global Initiative, Growing Power takes its grassroots-agriculture model to Africa
-Americans turn to backyard chickens for food, security
-Could Food Shortages Bring Down Civilisation?
-Critic’s Notebook: From earth to table, in more ways than one

Where we really stand with respect to oil and natural gas supplies

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A few days ago, I gave a presentation in Poland that talks about how much difficulty the world is having maintaining its oil production. The presentation was not set up to be a response to Jad Mouawad’s recent New York Times article, Oil Industry Sets a Brisk Pace of New Discoveries, but in many ways it is one. Our recent discoveries really have not been enough to make up for our many production problems elsewhere. We are having problems not only with oil, but with natural gas. The solution the financially distressed world is increasingly considering is…well, read the story to see.

A Letter from a Friend in Africa

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Marc Wegerif is an old school friend of mine from when I grew up in Bristol. After school he moved to South Africa and was very involved in activism there, and he now lives in Tanzania and works for Oxfam. He recently got back in touch and I sent him a copy of The Transition Handbook. Subsequently he sent me a long and thoughtful letter, with his reflections on the book, and on how it might relate to Africa. The whole question of what Transition might look like in a developing world context is something we have rarely explored at Transition Culture, and Marc has given me permission to reprint his letter here by way of initiating that discussion.

Climate & environment – Sept 29

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-Ancient glaciers are disappearing faster than ever
-Iraq’s marshes are dying a second death
-“The poor are burdened twice”
-Climate Summit: China Commits, Obama Not So Much
-India could halve emissions growth…but at a price
-Met Office warns of catastrophic global warming in our lifetimes