Deep thought – Aug 3

Harvard Business Review: Six rules for effective forecasting
The island of Naura- poster child for resource depletion
Focus on carbon ‘missing the point’
The terrifying prospect of a post-oil future: no more ready meals, traffic jams or lonely nights in front of TV
JM Greer’s fiction about the deindustrialzed future

Compressed gas hits the metals markets

All societies on earth face a Catch 22. We need to use fossil fuels to extract and manufacture resources to allow a transition to a liquefied natural gas infrastructure. Then our societies will have to use the remaining natural gas reserves to exploit even more minerals and commodities to transition to electric infrastructure.

Drought puts pressure on electricity

The water shortage across eastern Australia is now so acute it has begun to affect power supplies, and the country is at risk of electricity shortages next year.

“I think we are in denial, and are going to have brownouts in NSW if we don’t get snow this winter,” a source within the electricity market said.

“Energy resources and our future” – remarks by Admiral Hyman Rickover delivered in 1957

Nearly 50 years ago, Admiral Rickover (“father of the nuclear submarine”) delivered a talk that covered almost all the themes of peak oil, energy and sustainabilty. Reading it is a spine-chilling experience, to see how prophetic Rickover was, and to realize how we’ve erred by ignoring his warnings.

Global copper thefts on rise

Thieves target wind farms for high-cost copper cables

Australia: High-voltage copper theft strands commuters

South Africa: Copper theft causing chaos

Copper thieves strip Italy in “red gold” rush

Canada: Despite the dangers wire theft continues

UK: Theft causes widespread blackout

Micronesia: A new type of crime rises