Uninvited observations

I understand that the Association for the Study of Peak Oil & Gas (ASPO) will not always be invited to speak at CERA Week (Cambridge Energy Research Associates annual conference in Houston), but if I had been invited I could have discussed the CERA 2006 forecast of future oil production.

Revisiting “The End of Cheap Oil”

Prior to writing the article “The End of Cheap Oil” for the March 1998 issue of Scientific American magazine, Colin Campbell and I wrote four important oil and gas studies totaling about 1350 pages. After publication, our article was chosen as one out of 25 stories in the book Censored 1998, published by Sonoma State University.

ODAC Guest Commentary – Response to Peter Odell

Last week in the ODAC Newsletter I presented four background reasons why Professor Odell could write what he did in response to the article ‘The great fuel folly’ by Jeremy Leggett (The Guardian, February 15th and 5th 2008, respectively). The main reason was the existence of two very different data sets for how much oil the world has discovered – the oil industry’s proved and probable (‘2P’) data, and the very misleading proved reserves (‘1P’) data to which Odell has access. (See below for why 1P data can be so treacherous)…