Our phony economy

Skewed expectations, for both oil and the economy as a whole, will eventually lead us down the garden path to ruin. … All bogus numbers, whether they come from the EIA or the Bureau of Labor Statistics, are part and parcel of attempts to manage our behavior to keep the growth party going.

Peak oil – May 20

Financial Times: Fears over oil supply move into the mainstream (‘Are the peak oilists right?’)

Jeffrey Brown’s warning on oil producers’ own rising consumption gains Wall St backing
What the Export Land Model means for energy prices

Has peak oil as a meme “tipped”? (out of futures backwardation and into contango)
CNN on peak oil

Why planning for $200 barrel oil is so important

With the oil price looking pretty settled above $126 a barrel, what does the UK Government estimate the future oil price to be? Clearly one would imagine that as the most responsible body in the land, charged with making long term decisions that affect us all, they would have their fingers on the pulse of this one. Unfortunately the official position is as insulting as it is pathetic.

Distillates

The evidence is mounting that the US might just encounter the first real crisis of the oil depletion age before the year is out. The crisis at first will be one of spiraling prices for diesel and heating oil that will cause considerable economic havoc, and then there may be actual shortages right here in the United States.

Supply side follies

Lower oil production, exploding production costs and capturing a shrinking fraction of oil profits has not prevented oil companies from enjoying record high profits. These profits are so large that they have masked the fact that US corporate profits are otherwise in the doldrums