Prices & supplies – June 16

A Bull Market Sees the Worst in Speculators
Action against oil speculators could backfire
If a Hurricane Strikes
Out Of Control(s)- China’s energy subsidies
Eliminating Subsidies Won’t Cut It (Demand for Oil That Is)
Can We Have Rationing Now Please? (David Fleming interview)
BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2008

ODAC Guest Commentary – Richard Pike rebuttal

Richard Pike is an old BP hand, whose maths is sound. The proved reserve is often defined as that low amount which is 90% likely to be recovered, i.e. almost certain, and is called P90. Proved and probable reserve, or P50, is the amount which is 50% likely to be recovered. P10 also includes the possible, and is only 10% likely to be recovered.

Five nations agree to think about ending oil subsidies

The day after markets registered the highest single-day rise in crude oil prices ever, the United States and Asia’s four largest economies (Japan, China, India and South Korea), meeting in Aomori, Japan in advance of the G8 Energy Ministers summit, have formed a sort of Petro-holics non-Anonymous club, calling for an end to oil subsidies in their countries.

Consumer subsidies (subsidized fuel prices), that is, not producer subsidies.

OK, what they actually agreed upon was “the need” to remove fuel-price subsidies. Eventually.

Prices – June 4

Jeff Vail: Falling dollar behind oil price rises?

Oil price crash not imminent despite bubble: Soros
Reports of oil boom’s death look premature
Oil price and hurricane season
Lehman Brothers: Oil price bubble will burst with a bang like dot-com did

How speculators are manipulating & profiting from the global food crisis