Comments on $37 oil

Just as the world does not work too well at $147 oil, the energy industry does not work well with oil at $37. If $147 oil was a problem, then $37 oil is actually NOT the solution. Cheap oil might even be worse for the world over the long term.

Peak oil, prices & supplies – Dec 30

Crude oil rises as Israeli attacks on Gaza roil Middle East
Robert Rapier’s top 10 energy stories of 2008
Gwynne Dyer on peak oil and the transition from oil
Byron King: Whither the oil markets
What will make headlines in 2009
Tumult in the life of a Calgary oil trader

Forecast for 2009

The big theme for 2009 economically will be contraction. The end of the cheap energy era will announce itself as the end of conventional “growth” and the shrinking back of activity, wealth, and populations. … My hope for the year, at least for my own society, is that we will transition away from being a nation of complacent, distracted, over-fed clowns, to become a purposeful and responsible people willing to put their shoulders to the wheel to get some things done. My motto for the new year: “no more crybabies!”

Aviation fuels and peak oil (thesis)

Future aviation fuel supply is compared to future aviation fuel demand. … This scenario envisages a substantial lack of jet fuel by the year 2026. The aviation industry will have a hard time replacing this with fuel from other sources even if air traffic remains at today’s level. (Thesis advisor: Kjell Aleklett of ASPO).

Will Canada be Our Salvation?

There have been occasional claims from U.S. media sources that oil from Canada, specifically oil from the Athabasca oil sands region, can be the salvation for US oil woes in the future, assuming drilling everywhere in the US doesn’t do the trick. An example of such optimism was exemplified in a 60 Minutes segment about a year ago which gave the impression that the Athabascan region could supply much of the future U.S. oil needs.