Exaggerated oil recovery

A closer look at the National Petroleum Council (NPC) report: the case of the “missing” graph. Enhanced oil recovery (EOR) been used in the United States for three decades. By its own admission, the NPC’s previous estimates for EOR production didn’t pan out. Are you willing to take the chance that the NPC is right this time?

The National Petroleum Council report

in summary, the NPC report is saying that production will increase by around 25% over the next twenty five years, but this increase is entirely reliant on finding large amounts of new oil, mainly in the Middle East. Unfortunately, it is rather unlikely that the existing claims of oil reserves in the Middle East are true, and even less likely that massive amounts more oil can be found there. Even if it could, the Middle East is the least politically stable region of the world, and relying ever more heavily on it for critical inputs to our economy is likely to be fairly painful at regular intervals.

“Hard Truths” about global energy detailed in new NPC study

“Over the next 25 years, the United States and the world face hard truths about the global energy future,” that will require “all economic, environmentally responsible energy sources to assure adequate, reliable supply,” the NPC advises in a 422-page report delivered today to the Secretary of Energy. (Full report and summary now online.)