ASPO August Newsletter
ASPO’s August Newsletter makes some essential, if bleak, reading. The projected peak date has been moved forward, the collapse of global financial systems and human populations are discussed and much more.
ASPO’s August Newsletter makes some essential, if bleak, reading. The projected peak date has been moved forward, the collapse of global financial systems and human populations are discussed and much more.
We know oil prices are at a record high. Production has peaked. No major new fields are being discovered. We are running out of oil, except in the Middle East and parts of Africa.
The Venezuelan government say they reserve the right to suspend oil shipments to the USA in case of an eventual conflict or aggression.
Sixty per cent of Saudi production comes from the ‘King of Kings’ field. If this starts to decline, production has peaked.
While much of the world is concerned about whether Saudi Arabia can deliver on its promise to produce an extra 1 million barrels of oil a day, far more attention should be given to OPEC and non-OPEC member countries whose production continues to fall.
The declining oil production of Indonesia and Oman are greater than Saudi Arabias promised increases. Patterns of accelerated decline do not bode well for other old, aggressively worked, fields.
Once production peaks then it can’t meet demand and then prices will rise and it will be the equivalent of the oil shock in the 1970s. That will be a huge boost to renewables.
Human nature is such that we tend to wait for a crisis to happen before we react. However, as the current series of articles on the looming energy crisis highlight, we do so at our peril.
Powerdown is a brilliant analysis of the options available to a civilization facing resource depletion, biosphere collapse, and financial insolvency.
The data I am being told by engineers who have worked on Ghawar suggests that this decade will see it’s peak. As Ghawar goes, so goes the world.
In best-case scenarios, like Exxon Mobil, production is relatively flat. Many more energy companies are pumping less oil than they were a year ago.
There is no other oil producer on earth that can even begin over time to replace a significant short fall in Saudi Arabia’s oil. So if in fact, Saudi Arabia is at their peak production, then so is the world.