Campbell: Peak Oil in 2008
Colin Campbell and the Uppsala Hydrocarbon Depletion Study Group has now made the 2004 upgrade of the peak oil model. The peak is moved from 2010 to 2008
Colin Campbell and the Uppsala Hydrocarbon Depletion Study Group has now made the 2004 upgrade of the peak oil model. The peak is moved from 2010 to 2008
In our
view,
the recent high prices are just a practice run. The following is
drawn from
our recent research reports.
An argument against the imminent peaking of oil from Science Magazine.
THE producers’ cartel that governs world oil supplies last night admitted it had lost control of the latest price rise as oil bubbled back up to near-record highs.
Think gas is expensive now? Just wait. You’ve heard it before but this time it’s real. We’re at the begining of the end of cheap oil.
The last “super giant” oilfield (more than 10 billion barrels) was discovered 40 years ago; the last American refinery was built 25 years ago; each successive American “driving season” guzzles more gas than the last.
“China’s growing weight in world consumption virtually assures a heavy long-term impact on energy prices, trade, and investment. In a decade, China has gone from self-sufficiency to being the most dynamic factor in the world oil market and one of the main elements in today’s $40-plus per barrel price,” said the report by Daniel Yergin and Scott Roberts.
For the past several years, we have been publishing U.S. natural gas production surveys of publicly traded companies. The bottom-line story has remained essentially the same throughout this entire time: U.S. natural gas production is heading firmly downwards, despite a massive increase in drilling activity.
Predicting another oil shock, analysts John Westwood Ltd., Canterbury, England, said depleting oil reserves, coupled with growing energy demand, will result in sustained oil price increases, greater capital investment in natural gas production, drastic conservation regulations, and fevered development of renewable energy substitutes funded by “windfall” profits.
Largely due to highly efficient longwall mining technology, Colorado has jumped to the front of the line of the nation’s fastest-growing coal-producing states, up from 11th in 1999.
Colorado is full of sand, but it’s useless for luring natural gas out of the earth through an increasingly important drilling method called hydraulic fracturing.
US – As West Virginia coal prices are rising, especially on the spot market, coal production is dropping and mining employment has plummeted.