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I hear voices

February 12, 2024

I’m not complaining of a psychological disorder or claiming supernatural powers, but I do hear voices in my head. These voices continually verbalize differing philosophical and psychological responses to the existential crises threatening our world. Two of these voices are particularly persistent. One of them contends that there is no hope for the survival of civilization, regardless what we do; while the other thinks that humanity can get through this century of crises more or less intact, if it pulls together and behaves itself.

Writing this article has turned out to be a self-therapy session. I hope that letting these two internal voices have their say will help readers sort out what they themselves think.

Voice 1: There’s a simple reason we’re seeing so many crises converging in today’s world—including climate change, widespread toxic pollution, resource depletion, skyrocketing inequality, and the disappearance of wild nature. During the past 10,000 years, humanity developed agriculture, a slew of technologies, and, eventually, capitalism. Then, in the last two centuries, we wholeheartedly embraced fossil fuels. These additions to our natural biological powers have put us on a trajectory to overshoot global environmental limits. They also make it possible for a few people to exploit the many in truly diabolical ways. The whole modern techno-social system is unsustainable and it’s bound to crash. We’re seeing plenty of warning signs that the crash is imminent—from worsening trends in planetary boundaries and ecological footprint analyses, to the evaporation of democracy worldwide. At this point, there’s not much we can do, other than acknowledge reality, prepare ourselves psychologically, and adapt as best we can.

Voice 2: Sure, the problems are severe. But there’s actually lots we can do. Name a problem, and there’s an answer. We know what needs to be done to tackle climate change: replace fossil fuels with renewable energy. Yes, that’s a big job, but we can start by overcoming the political and economic clout of the fossil fuel industries. Getting toxics out of the environment requires that we demand stronger regulation of the chemicals and plastics industries. We can reduce economic inequality within and between countries with policies as simple and familiar as progressive taxation (including wealth taxes) and redistributive programs, and ones as edgy and controversial as degrowth. We can make space for nature to recover by setting aside as much as half of Earth’s surface for that purpose. Government leaders have already agreed in principle to making a third of the planet off-limits to development. Indeed, strides are being made in each of our problem areas. We just need to do more.

Voice 1: But some of these solutions have been around for a long time. A few people get behind them, but seldom enough to make a real difference. The trends just keep worsening. Yes, we’re installing record numbers of solar panels and wind turbines, but global carbon emissions keep increasing anyway. There’s a reason why the problems keep piling up: the processes that create these problems (principally, economic expansion and population growth) are systematically supported by governments, religions, and corporate advertising. Growth produces jobs, profits, and returns on investment. Everybody benefits—except nonhumans, people in the global South, poor people in the global North, and future generations. Just try explaining to your government representatives that economic growth and population growth are destroying our children’s future by depleting resources and polluting the environment, and see how far you get. Nobody wants to hear it.

Further, a lot of “solutions” don’t really solve anything—or they just create more problems. For example, the energy transition that’s supposed to solve climate change will need enormous amounts of minerals, requiring an expansion of mining on land and under the seas. It will deplete natural resources, rob other species of habitat, and pollute some of the most vulnerable human communities with mining waste.

Why can’t we just be honest with ourselves? There are too many of us humans, using too many resources too fast. This is a dilemma familiar to human societies in the past, when it led to societal collapse of one degree or another—though on a much smaller overall scale than the global collapse we are triggering. Some ancient societies eventually wised up and became Indigenous to a particular area, living within nature’s limits. Hopefully we’ll do that, too—but likely not until after the crash.

Voice 2: In instances where environmental and social trends are headed in the wrong direction, we need to help people understand what’s at stake, and motivate more of them to get involved. If we’re going to avert the worst, an enormous number of folks will need to change their thinking and behavior. How do we motivate those changes? We have to use psychology. People will make sacrifices and work hard if they feel that their efforts are making a difference. So, it’s important that we highlight solutions and victories wherever we can find them. Even if we gloss over some difficulties and trade-offs, that’s better than giving in to paralyzing visions of doom, which cause people to disengage from environmental and social action. When they disengage, we get the worst outcomes.

Also, in many cases it’s possible to have the benefits of technology, science, and economic development without severe costs to environment. We can substitute less-polluting chemicals for the really toxic ones. We can make plastics from plant fiber. We can recycle more. The list is long. Some of the solutions are social, such as finding ways to reduce energy demand through behavior change—like persuading more people to use public transit. At some point, a critical mass of people will adopt these kinds of solutions. By giving in to despair, we make that much less likely.

Voice 1: Solutionism demands always looking at the bright side, focusing on accomplishments and successes. Yes, that may motivate some people (though typically not enough) to get involved in campaigns. But convincing ourselves that we’re solving global problems, when in fact those problems are worsening, is an exercise in futility.

There’s something refreshing about ditching this compulsion to look at everything in the world as a problem that we must solve. It makes space for curiosity. We might well ask: just how and why did we humans get onto this anti-nature, self-destructive tangent? Maybe it was the search for solutions that led modern humans astray. After all, every toxic chemical started as somebody’s good idea. Humans are products of evolution. But evolution, particularly social evolution, has driven us into a cul de sac through a series of maladaptations. Instead of forging ahead, we need to back our way out of this dead end, where we answer every problem with more technology and growth, thereby creating worse problems later. Realistically, that fundamental about-face will probably not happen until the whole system crashes, when it becomes obvious to just about everyone that we’ve gone wrong.

Voice 2: Yes, it’s interesting to speculate about human evolution. But meanwhile, real people have to deal with real crises. Heroic people pursuing solutions are making a difference, and we’d all be much worse off if they weren’t doing so. Over a century ago, conservationists started campaigns that led to the creation of national parks—at first in the US, now in many other countries. Nature benefits from these protected wildlands, and so do people. Back in the 1980s, chlorofluorocarbons were destroying the atmospheric ozone layer. Countries convened to adopt a ban on those chemicals, and the ozone layer has recovered. Right now, there are battles taking place around the world to stop new oil and gas infrastructure, preserve forests and other habitat, and protect poor and Indigenous people from the onslaught of industrial development. These campaigns need money and volunteers—not navel-gazing critiques of how human evolution went wrong.

Voice 1: I visit national parks, and it’s certainly good that we protected the ozone layer. Still, I can’t help seeing self-deception at work. A few years ago, somebody coined the word “hopium” to highlight the fact that, while hope sometimes makes us feel better, it is addictive and can make us delusional. It blinds us to what’s really coming. It promotes the sense that everything will be fine, even though nearly everything we’re doing ensures that it won’t.

One of the big drawbacks of solutionism is that it fails to distinguish between simple problems, which have solutions, and wicked problems or dilemmas, which don’t. Even if some of our problems can be solved, at least in principle, the sheer scale of our overshoot of environmental limits ensures that the rest of this century will be a time of crisis upon crisis, conflict upon conflict—a time unlike any we’ve seen historically. Whether it’s global warming already in the pipeline, or the horribly degraded condition of the world’s oceans, or the extreme and worsening economic inequality in the world today, we have created conditions that will lead to decades in which social and natural systems will unravel. We could minimize the suffering that’s coming by building resilience at the household and community levels now. But that’s not going to happen unless people realize that many of our worst problems aren’t going to be solved, because they’ve grown so huge that there’s no way to really address them without behavioral and institutional change so dramatic that many people would perceive the immediate result as worse than the problems we’re grappling with now.

Voice 2: Yes, I see your point. It’s important to wake people up, and help them realize the severity of what’s happening. But if we leave them at that—if we leave ourselves at that—then we’ve done little but spread hopelessness and despair. Your distinction between wicked and simple problems is intriguing, but at a certain level it’s just nitpicking. What people want and need is awareness of actions they can take that will lead to better outcomes—even if the goal is not utopia, but just the avoidance of immediate harm.

Voice 1: What about just loving this amazing world that evolution has given us? Live with integrity and create beauty. Maybe civilization is in hospice care, and we just need to honor its dying process. Recall the Kübler-Ross five stages of grief. We see people around us at every stage—from denial to anger, bargaining, depression, and acceptance. Solutionism could typify the bargaining stage. Maybe some so-called “doomers” have arrived at the acceptance phase sooner than others.

Voice 2: That’s a nice-sounding sentiment, but it’s also a lazy, fatalistic cop-out. Saving lives and ecosystems requires action and courage. Standing in the way of a bulldozer may not stop all the things going wrong in the world, but under the right circumstances it can be a strategic action that leads to broader public awareness or new legislation. Or, we can build alternatives—cooperatives businesses, ecovillages, and farmers markets. Protect a bit of nature. Stop a pipeline. Contribute to social and political theory. Persuade just one person to change their behavior. Any of those actions is better than just sitting on the sidelines philosophizing.

Voice 1: But just doing something can be a cop-out, too, if we’re using adrenaline to distract ourselves from grappling psychologically and spiritually with what it means to be living at this unique moment. Maybe it’s only by really getting to the core of what’s gone wrong—in ourselves as much as in the world—that we can see what actually needs to happen in order for humans to live sustainably on this planet. Maybe the change needed is so radical that it can only occur after profound personal transformation, or a collapse of the system.

Voice 2: I agree that we need radical change. That’s the solution. Would you agree, then, that at some point there can be a solution? If so, then why wait until after the collapse to get to work?

Voice 1: Okay, I guess you have a point there. We’re starting to get repetitive and I’m growing tired. Truce?

Voice 2: Truce.

* * *

How do I reconcile these two voices? Well, to a certain degree, I simply don’t. Psychological and neurological research suggests that, for all of us, the unified sense of self is at least partly a useful fiction. There are indeed some things I’m sure about; for example, any voice in my head speaking up for armaments manufacturers and fossil fuel companies was drowned out long ago. But between the voices articulated in this article, an internal debate rages on.

It’s true that we all need to grapple with the root causes of our predicament, and it’s also true that the grappling needs to include urgent on-the-ground action. To a certain extent, these responses are not mutually exclusive. Maybe the overlap on their shared Venn diagram is the place I’ll choose to call my intellectual and spiritual home—at least for now.

Richard Heinberg

Richard is Senior Fellow of Post Carbon Institute, and is regarded as one of the world’s foremost advocates for a shift away from our current reliance on fossil fuels. He is the author of fourteen books, including some of the seminal works on society’s current energy and environmental sustainability crisis. He has authored hundreds of essays and articles that have appeared in such journals as Nature and The Wall Street Journal; delivered hundreds of lectures on energy and climate issues to audiences on six continents; and has been quoted and interviewed countless times for print, television, and radio. His monthly MuseLetter has been in publication since 1992. Full bio at