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The Many Shapes of the Carbon Pulse

September 11, 2023

Recorded August 30 2023

Description

In this Frankly, Nate describes the Carbon Pulse – a one time massive consumption of fossil hydrocarbons at a pace millions of times faster than they were created. He outlines the many shapes that this pulse could take, as well as some shapes it will never take. Compared to previous carbon pulses that led to mass and minor extinctions, how does the modern pulse compare?  What can what we know about ecology and human behavior tell us about the most likely paths into descent? Can thinking about these graphs on such grand geologic time scales help guide us away from the Precipice and towards a more Sapient Future? 

Show Notes

00:00 – Graphs Shown in this Frankly

00:23 – The Great Simplification Animated Movie

00:25 – The Carbon Pulse

02:49 – Previous Extinction Events

03:55 – We are releasing carbon way faster compared to previous mass extinctions

04:50 – Normal Curve

05:24 – This carbon will never exist again on human time scales

07:34 – Debt allows us to use more energy from the future today

08:39 – S-Curve

15:51 – Ken Deffeyes – Peak oil 

17:44 – Ice Ages

19:33 – Fossil Fuel Scenarios

20:38 – Countries’ recent increase in coal usage

Nate Hagens

Nate Hagens

Nate Hagens is the Executive Director of The Institute for the Study of Energy & Our Future (ISEOF). Allied with leading ecologists, energy experts, politicians, and systems thinkers, ISEOF assembles roadmaps for understanding how human societies might adapt to lower-throughput lifestyles.

Nate hosts the podcast The Great Simplification, where he has conversations with experts in energy, ecology, government, technology, and the economy to provide a systemic view of the world around us.

After ten years in finance, Nate left Wall Street to study the interrelationships between energy, ecology, and economics—and the implications for human futures. He was the Managing Editor of The Oil Drum, one of the most respected websites for analysis and discussion of global energy supplies and implications of the upcoming energy transition.


Tags: carbon pulse, fossil fuel consumption

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mwildfire
mwildfire
3 years ago

One of the better Franklys. Very clear, points well made.

Joe Clarkson
Joe Clarkson
3 years ago

Excellent video!

I suspect that the eventual shape of the pulse will be the “precipice”. Once the global carbon production and distribution system starts to falter, its mutual interdependencies with every other aspect of industrial production will mean a rapid collapse of production. Once fossil fuel production starts to significantly decline, everything falls apart.