Peak oil – Sept 3

September 3, 2007

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A Small Note on Hurricane Felix

Prof. Goose, The Oil Drum
It looks like Hurricane Felix will hit the Nicaragua coast and decay a bit, then hit Belize and do some damage, and die out without causing much damage in Mexico at all, certainly not the offshore fields. The models from our friend Chuck Watson aren’t showing much infrastructure/energy impact at all; some disruption to the efforts to restore remaining damage from Dean, but that’s about it.

So, this time let’s focus on the human cost of this storm and hope that it is minimal. Our thoughts are with them.
(3 September 2007)


Duncan Clarke Responds to David Strahan

Duncan Clarke, The Oil Drum: Europe

TOD editor Chris Vernon writes:

Earlier this year two books were published, The Last Oil Shock by David Strahan and The Battle for Barrels by Duncan Clarke. Both books address the question of future oil supplies but came to dramatically differing conclusions; Strahan arguing global oil production will soon peak and go into terminal decline, Clarke highlighting complexities concerning the evaluation of how much oil remains, historical mistakes in production forecasting and suggesting a more abundant view of our energy future.

Image Removed
The Last Oil Shock and The Battle For Barrels

Last month David Strahan published an open letter to Duncan Clarke, which we discussed here. Duncan Clark has been good enough to respond to Strahan with an open letter we are able to publish today.
(3 September 2007)
Many comments at the original from posters who take issue with Mr. Clarke and with each other.

First, could I offer a warm welcome to Mr. Duncan Clarke? He is one of the very few peak oil skeptics from the oil industry who has had the intestinal fortitude to enter into a dialogue with us.

And especially to post on The Oil Drum — talk about entering the Lion’s Den! So, despite our disagreements, I have to tip my hat to him. Also, I applaud his courtesy and civil tone. It would be classy on our part to return the favor.

For more on the argument between Duncan and Strahan, see the review of their books in the Guardian last April.

It seems to be overlooked, but Mr. Duncan has paid The Oil Drum and the peak oil blogosphere a great compliment:

The [peak oil] lobby has after all developed a slick public relations machine

In the little world of peak oil, it’s easy to become discouraged about getting the message out – to see only the problems and frustrations. It should be a source of satisfaction to the dozens of peak oil volunteers on the Internet barricades that we are seen as a “slick public relations machine.”

-BA


ODAC News – Monday 03 Sept

Douglas Low, Oil Depletion Analysis Centre

Global Oil and Gas Reserves v Costs, 2006
1a/ Upstream Spending Surge Fails to Deliver (Energy Intelligence [Oil Daily], Thu 30 Aug)
1b/ Global Upstream Performance Review 2007 (Harrison Lovegrove + co, Wed 29 Aug)
1c/ Global oil reserves up only 1% last year (Financial Post [Canada], Thu 20 Aug)

The Iraqi Conflict
2/ “Iraq Does Not Exist Anymore” (Democracy Now, Tue 21 Aug)

Food – Drought in Australia
3/ Drought Catastrophe Stalks Australia’s Food Bowl (Planet Ark [Reuters], Thu 30 Aug)

Natural Gas – UK
4/ Oversupply of gas does not mean price cuts (The Telegraph, Mon 03 Sep)

Food – Wheat in Russia
5/ Moscow considers wheat export ban (The Financial Times, Sun 02 Sep)

Food – Milk Prices
6/ In a growing world, milk is the new oil (International Herald Tribune, Fri 31 Aug)

Natural Gas – Bangladesh
7/ Bangladesh: No Gas for Eight Proposed Large & Medium Power Plants (Energy Bangla [Bangladesh], Sun 02 Sep)

(3 September 2007)


Tags: Education, Food, Fossil Fuels, Oil