We Were Warned: Tomorrow’s oil crisis will be featured on CNN Presents this weekend. Showings are set for Saturday, March 18 at 8 p.m. and 11 p.m. ET.
UPDATE (March 17):
CNN Presents has updated their webpage. It now has many links and some video clips.
The Oil Drum has the latest information on the upcoming program.
EB editor: The only description of the program from CNN seems to be this article for educators:
(CNN Student News) — Set your VCR to record the CNN Presents Classroom Edition: We Were Warned: Tomorrow’s oil crisis when it airs commercial-free on Monday, March 20, 2006, from 4:00 – 5:00 a.m. ET on CNN.
It is September 2009. A Category 5 hurricane roars through Houston, destroying oil refineries, drilling platforms and pipelines–the complex system that provides a quarter of our nation’s daily fuel supply. Three days later, terrorists attack two key oil installations in Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest supplier. In the days and weeks that follow, gasoline prices hit record highs, food prices soar as trucks cannot afford to make deliveries, and Americans begin to realize that their very way of life is in peril.
In We Were Warned: Tomorrow’s Oil Crisis, CNN’s Frank Sesno explores the potential ripple effects of this frightening scenario. The events depicted are hypothetical, but oil experts believe the scenario is entirely plausible. His interviews with energy experts reveal that we are nearing the point at which the world, led by the U.S. and China, will begin to consume more oil than can be pumped from the ground and the oceans. Tracking the global race to find new pools of oil, Sesno also considers the viability of alternative fuels, such as ethanol, which is used as fuel for 40% of cars in Brazil. Throughout his investigation, Sesno tries to find out whether any of these ventures can solve our looming energy crisis or whether we are already too late.
Grade Level: 7 -12, College
Subject Areas: U.S. History, Current Events, Earth Science, Physical Science and Technology
The CNN Presents Classroom Edition: We Were Warned: Tomorrow’s oil crisis and its corresponding discussion questions and activities challenge students to:
- Examine America’s reliance on oil and the impact that disruptions to oil supplies could have on our way of life;
- Explore the benefits and drawbacks of alternative energy sources;
- Consider the impact that oil prices could have on the pursuit of alternative energy policies;
- Evaluate potential strategies for decreasing U.S. dependence on foreign oil.
… (See original article)
- According to the report, approximately how many barrels of oil does America consume daily? Approximately how much of that oil is imported?
- Based on your understanding of the hypothetical scenario presented in We Were Warned: Tomorrow’s oil crisis, to what extent do you think that U.S. society is based on oil? What aspects of society are directly or indirectly dependent on oil? Explain. Do you think that Americans are “addicted to oil”? State your rationale.
- According to the report, what is “tomorrow’s oil crisis”? How might a massive disruption of existing oil supplies impact the U.S. socially, politically and economically? To what extent do you think that, as former CIA director James Woolsey asserts, leadership, conservation, and a genuine commitment to alternative fuels and hybrid technology are matters of national security? State your rationale.
- What new supplies of oil and alternatives to oil does CNN’s Frank Sesno explore in his report? What are the potential benefits and drawbacks of each venture? Do you think that any of these ventures appear to provide a viable option to overcome our dependence on foreign oil? Explain.
- Based on what you learned in the report, what factors can affect the supply of oil available for consumption? What factors can impact worldwide demand for oil? What does oil analyst Matthew Simmons believe will happen to the balance between the supply and demand of oil in the near future? How might the supply or demand of oil impact the price that American consumers pay at the pump? According to the report, how might extreme fluctuations in the supply, demand or price of oil lead to a crisis?
- Throughout the program, CNN’s Frank Sesno interviews government officials, consumers, oil company and automotive executives, geologists, oil analysts and entrepreneurs. What roles do each of these representatives play in developing U.S. energy policy? Who or what do you think has, or should have, the greatest impact on energy policies in the U.S.? Explain.
- What challenges do you think that the U.S. faces in trying to address its reliance on oil imports? Do you think that U.S. dollars should be spent on pursuing new sources of oil, promoting conservation, developing new technologies or finding alternative and renewable sources of energy? Explain. What, if any, additional information would you want to know before you invested in any of the programs explored in the report?
- According to this program, about what have we been warned? Do you think that the warning is justified or supported by the program? Explain. Do you think that Americans should heed this warning? According to CNN’s Sesno, why doesn’t the U.S. have a big alternative energy market? Are you personally concerned about a potential oil crisis? Why or why not? What, if anything, would you be willing to do to avert or prepare for a potential oil crisis?
Alternative Sources of Energy
Point out to students that, during his 2006 State of the Union address, President George W. Bush proposed weaning the U.S. from its dependence on imported oil. He asked Congress to support a new plan called the Advanced Energy Initiativeexternal link. With a national goal of replacing more than 75% of our oil imports from the Middle East by 2025, the initiative calls for investments in new fuels and technologies that will change how we power our homes, businesses and automobiles.
Based on the information in We Were Warned: Tomorrow’s oil crisis and from the Advanced Energy Initiative proposals, have students list the options for breaking America’s dependence on foreign oil. These options might include drilling for new sources of oil in U.S. territories, mining in the oil sands of Northern Canada, developing technologies that harness wind, solar and hydrogen power, creating biofuels such as ethanol, turning agricultural residue into fuel or creating hybrid or petroleum-free automobiles.
Organize students into small groups and assign one of these ventures to each group. Challenge students to weigh the benefits and drawbacks of their assigned programs, and have them consider the potential economic, social, political, or environmental challenges that these ventures would need to overcome to be successful. After groups have presented their findings, pose the following questions for class discussion:
- What are the differences between renewable and nonrenewable energies?
- In your opinion, which of these energy sources is the best? Why?
- Do you think that the U.S. can, or should, achieve complete independence from imported oil? Why or why not?
- Encourage students to write letters to consumer groups, government officials or oil and automotive industry executives that recommend what, if anything, should be done to break America’s dependence on foreign oil.
Exploring Gas Prices
In the hypothetical scenario presented in We Were Warned: Tomorrow’s oil crisis, U.S. oil refinery damage from a Category 5 hurricane and terrorist attacks on Saudi oil processing facilities force the price of gasoline to jump to $7.00 per gallon. Ask: Why might disruptions to the supply of oil impact the price we pay at the pump?
Inform students that there are many factors that can affect gas prices. Refer students to the CNN Student News Extra!: Gas Prices and to other related resources to learn more about these factors.
CNN’s Frank Sesno suggests that the reason the U.S. doesn’t have a big alternative energy market is because oil is still cheap. Have students discuss the implications of this assertion. Ask: To what extent do you think that oil prices affect U.S. demand for alternative energies? What other factors could impact U.S. demand for alternative energy sources? Do you think that an extreme rise in oil prices could lead to an extreme demand for alternative energies in the U.S.? Explain. How much would you be willing to pay to fill up your car?
Challenge students to determine how much they would spend in gasoline per year to drive their favorite cars. Have students locate the fuel economy for city and highway driving of some of their favorite cars. Then, direct each student to a fuel cost calculatorexternal link, and have him/her plug in the appropriate numbers (including the local average price of gas per gallon).
Once they have retrieved the calculated costs of fuel for one year, have them increase the average price per gallon in $10 or $20 increments. After students have presented their findings, ask: Were you surprised at what you would pay for a year’s worth of gasoline at the current price? At what price would you be unwilling or unable to fill up your car? What, if anything, would you be willing to do to avoid paying high prices at the pump? Do you agree or disagree with Sesno’s assertion that the reason the U.S. doesn’t have a big alternative energy market is because oil is still cheap? Explain.