Tom Standing

Canadian Oil Sands Misses Unrealistic Projection – Issues Another

Canadian energy authorities have done it again. They missed their last rosy projection of future oil sands production, so they issued a new one: they merely pushed the big surge in production 5 years into the future.

December 14, 2009

Lifting Drilling Moratoriums–One Important Step to Control Oil Imports

Congressional leaders use the sound bite, “We can’t drill our way out of this oil mess.” Of course; who ever claimed we could? But we can’t conserve our way out either. Reducing demand is a long-term process; “evolution” may be a more accurate term. Tightening CAFE standards will ease demand, but the benefit would be spread over many years. For long-term reduction, we would have to overhaul our daily travel patterns through societal lifestyle changes while we restructure our cities and suburbs. Such fundamental changes will take a human generation or longer. It took decades for the car culture to evolve in the U.S. It will take that long to reverse it.

July 28, 2008

A dose of reality for enhanced oil recovery (EOR) projection

There is a huge discrepancy between the National Petroleum Council’s (NPC) projection for enhanced oil recovery (EOR), and the history of actual EOR results. Where does EOR succeed and where does it not?

October 29, 2007

Once again, the NPC expects too much from enhanced oil recovery

In their recent 400+ page report, the National Petroleum Council (NPC) projects that enhanced oil recovery (EOR) will contribute an enormous increment of total global supply of petroleum liquids. By any reasonable analysis, NPC’s projection of EOR production rates is unachievable.

October 1, 2007

BP's recent production data, and a different view of future world oil production trends

The chart using the BP world oil production data effectively separates the peaked producers from those who are increasing, and those who may still increase or at least hold steady for awhile. This article add a few thoughts on likely future production trends.

July 2, 2007

Mexico’s Cantarell field: how long will it last?

Thanks to the Reforma and Cantarell field discoveries, Mexico’s oil production grew dramatically, starting from the mid-1970s and running right up to its peak production in 2004. But Cantarell, Mexico’s largest field, is in decline. Part one of this 4-part series covers the background.

October 11, 2006

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