The era of cheap energy is ending due to the depletion of low cost high quality fossil fuel deposits. First effects are being felt in Europe in the growing reliance on Middle-East, Caspian and Russian Oil & Gas, significantly higher fuel and chemical prices, and an international struggle over remaining fossil fuel extraction contracts.
These effects will become more apparent with the peak and decline in oil production approaching for reasons of geologic, economic and political nature. The challenge of this predicament is to reduce our dependency on oil while maintaining economic stability, within Europe and beyond.
The ninth international ASPO conference aims to provide insights in the challenges that we face in maintaining economic stability as fossil fuels get more expensive to recover and produce. The attendees will have the opportunity to obtain updates on the latest research on fossil fuel availability, on long and short term economic consequences of expensive energy, and on solution pathways from alternative energy to infrastructure, all within the context of European Energy Policy.
Conference Presentations
The links to ASPO 9 Conference Presentation slides + video’s can be found in PDF format in the program table below. In case that a specific PDF or video is not yet available please return back in a number of days, as we are still in the process of contacting speakers to give permission to publish their PDF/Video.
The audio and video’s of the Walloon Parliament Meeting on April 26 are available at this website with thanks to the Walloon Parliament. The slides of the presentation’s of this meeting will become available in the next days.
In case that a specific presentation is not available this means that we have not (yet) obtained permission for publication beyond ASPO 9. For inquiries pertaining to specific presentations please send an e-mail to rembrandtkoppelaar@gmail.com.
Presentations Day 1 – Wednesday 27 April 2011
Opening of the conference
Paul Hohnen, Conference Facilitator (download PDF) (watch video)
Dr. Colin Campbell, ASPO Honorary Chairman (download PDF) (watch video)
Ir. Jean Laherrère, co-founder of ASPO (download PDF) (watch video)
Philippe Henry – Belgian Minister of Environment, Spatial Planning, and Mobility of the Walloon Region (no slides) (watch video)
Global Overview on Oil, Gas, & Coal Supplies
The ASPO Perspective on Fossil Fuels
Prof. Dr. Kjell Aleklett, Professor at Uppsala University Sweden and President of ASPO (download PDF) (watch video)
TOTAL’s view on Future Oil Production
Pierre Mauriaud, TOTAL Exploration Training and Technical Image Manager
Discussion, Q&A (watch video)
Session Speakers + Panel Contributor Dr. Colin Campbell, honorary chairman of ASPO
Climate Change and Fossil Fuel Depletion
Prof. Dr. Jean-Pascal van Ypersele, Professor at Université catholique de Louvain and Vice-chair IPCC
(download PDF) (watch video)
Discussion, Q&A (watch video)
Session Speakers + Panel Contributor Dr. Colin Campbell, honorary chairman of ASPO
Track A: Natural Gas Supply and Demand
Track B: Alternative Energy Sources
Russia and Norway: Natural Gas Prospects & Modeling Approaches
Bengt Söderbergh (download PDF) (watch video) and Kristofer Jakobsson, Global Energy Systems Group Uppsala University (download (PDF) (watch video)
The Energy Report – 100% Renewable Energy by 2050
Dr. Yvonne Deng, Ecofys (download PDF) (watch video)
The Energy Return on (Energy) Investment of Norwegian Oil & Gas
Leena Grandell, Independent Energy Analyst (download PDF) (watch video)
Policies for a Full Scale Transition to Renewable Energy
Prof. Dr. Aviel Verbruggen, University of Antwerp (download PDF) (watch video)
Caspian and Middle East natural gas: Trade, geopolitics and international politics
Dr. Mert Bilgin, Bahçeşehir University Turkey (download PDF) (watch video)
EU Energy and Climate Policy towards 2050
Dr. Jorgen Henningsen, Senior Consultant European Policy Centre (no slides) (watch video)
Discussion, Q&A
Session Speakers + Panel Contributor Ir. Jean Laherrère, co-founder of ASPO
Discussion, Q&A
Track A: Frontier Fossil Fuels
Track B: The European Electricity Grid
Subsalt and Deepwater Oil
Dr. Ir. Jean-Marie Masset, Former TOTAL Senior VP Geoscience
Integrating Renewable Energy Sources in the Electricity Grid
Prof. Dr. Henrik Lund, Aalborg University Denmark
(download conference Paper Lund)
The economic prospects for Shale Gas
Ir. Jean-Marie Bourdaire, advisor of Cheniere Energy, former Director at IEA, former Director at WEC
Impact of high renewable energy penetration on the feasibility, security, costs of the electricity system
Dr. Erik Delarue, Research Foundation Flanders (FWO) at K.U. Leuven
The global growth of Underground Coal Gasification – with specific reference to Europe
Marc Mostade, Technical Director, Clean Coal Ltd., UCG Association, Advisory Council
Progress in Electrical Energy Storage Systems
Prof. Dr. Yulong Ding, Institute of Particle Science & Engineering University of Leeds
Discussion, Q&A
Session Speakers + Panel Contributor Arthur Berman, Labyrinth Consulting Services, Director ASPO USA
Discussion, Q&A
Plenary Report & Closing Address – Paul Hohnen Conference Facilitator (watch video)
Day 2 – Thursday 28 April 2011
Long Term Perspectives on Energy & Industrial Civilisation
Effects of triple digit oil prices on the economy
Jeff Rubin, Author, Former CIBC Chief Economist (no slides) (watch video)
The Energy Costs to Produce Energy
Dr. David Murphy, State University of New York
Discussion, Q&A
Session Speakers + Panel Contributor Prof. Dr. Douglas Reynolds of University of Alaska Fairbanks (download paper Reynolds) (watch video)
Short Term Oil Market & Economic Developments
Scenarios for Peak Oil confronted by a Global Crisis
Ir. Jean-Luc Wingert, ASPO France
Short term Outlook for Oil, Demand, Spare Capacity, Oil Projects
Chris Skrebowski, Peak Consulting
Crude Oil Price Forecast and Investment/Hedging Strategies
Erik Townsend, private investor, former CEO Cushing Group
Discussion, Q&A (watch video)
Track A: European Energy Policy
Track B: The Relation between Energy and Agriculture
Peak Oil, Climate Change, and Energy Policy
Dr. Euan Mearns, University of Aberdeen and The Oil Drum
Energy Efficiency of different Agricultural Systems
Dr. Tiziano Gomiero, Contract Researcher at the University of Padova
Mobility after Peak Oil in Europe
Jörg Schindler, member of Energy Watch Group and ASPO Germany
Towards a Truly Sustainable Agriculture
Dr. Wes Jackson, President of The Land Institute
Material Scarcity and its effect on Energy Solutions
Dr. Derk Bol, Program Manager Materials Innovation Institute M2I
(download PDF) (watch video)
Potential of development of biobased materials in Europe
Dr. Ir. Jean-Luc Wertz, Valbiom, Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech, Université de Liège
Discussion, Q&A
Discussion, Q&A
Track A: Energy, Transport, and Materials modeling
Track B: European Policy on Food Security & Biofuels
Modelling Costs and Material Requirements for Solar Energy
Ir. Niels van Loon, TNO Industrial Innovation, Solar
Oil, Agriculture, and the Long Term Price of Food
Dr. Christian Anton Smedshaug, Senior Advisor Norwegian Farmer’s Union
Oil market & Oil resources – A long term view with the world energy model POLES
Ir. Alban Kitous, Senior Consultant, Head of Forecasting Studies Enerdata
Interlinkages between Energy and Agricultural Markets
Dr. Geert Woltjer, Wageningen University, Agricultural Economic Institute Netherlands
Impacts of high oil prices on transport and the European economy
Dr. Michael Krail, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovations Research ISI
The Oil – Food Price Shock
Alex Evans, Non–Resident Fellow at the Center on International Cooperation (CIC) at New York University
(no slides) (watch video)
Discussion, Q&A
Session Speakers + Panel Contributor Dr. Susan Krumdieck, university of Canterbury + Panel Contributor Dr. Dominique Gusbin, Belgian Federal Planning Bureau
Discussion, Q&A
Session Speakers + Panel Contributor René Poismans, Ministry of the Walloon Region, DG Agriculture
Plenary Report & Closing Address of day 2 – Paul Hohnen Conference Facilitator
Day 3 – Friday 29 April
Oil Export Changes and Energy Policy
Oil Export changes and their effects on oil producing countries
Prof. Dr. Paul Stevens, Chatham House
(download PDF) (watch video)
The Impending World Energy Mess and its Implications
Darren Bezdek, MISI Director of Energy Studies
Discussion, Q&A (watch video)
European Energy Policy in an Era of Expensive Oil
Peak Oil Policies: Options for Australia
Bruce Robinson, Convenor ASPO Australia
(download Conference Paper Robinson)
A view from the European Parliament
Ir. Philippe Lamberts, co-President European Green Party & EU Parliament Member for the Greens/EFA group
(no slides) (watch video)
Better Understanding of Global Oil & Gas Peaks: The Role of Government
Roger Bentley, Visiting Research Fellow, Reading University
Discussion, Q&A
Conference closing address – Paul Hohnen Conference Facilitator (watch video)
