Dependence on Phantom Carrying Capacity

Because the people of industrial nations did not recognize themselves as hunters and gatherers, they adhered to premises that were becoming more and more false. Franklin D Roosevelt spoke for all believers in those premises in the next-to-last sentence he ever wrote: “The only limits to our realization of tomorrow will be our doubts of today”. [Chapter 3 from William Catton’s classic book Overshoot]

It sounds crazy, but …

Former CIA analyst Ray McGovern revives the neocon’s old nickname, the ‘crazies,’ to describe their approach to oil depletion, the possibility of an overt war with Iran and the problems of the Israeli-US military nexus for peace in the Middle East.

The long road down: decline and the deindustrial future

The crucial needs that must be met in an age of decline are damage control, cultural survival, and the building of a new society amid the ruins of the old. Political and business interests aren’t going to meet these needs, or do anything else helpful; oil is to the modern industrial nations what corn was to the ancient Maya, and the ahauob of Washington and Wall Street have turned to war just as their Maya equivalents did.

Fundamentals in the Oil Pricing Game

Any production numbers for OPEC are subject to the key question: net or gross? This pattern, of domestic oil demand increasing much faster than production, is common to far more than 9 out of 10 oil producers, both OPEC and nonOPEC. Net exports, therefore, will always tend to grow slower than national production.

Oil prices confound experts

Latest figures from the oil industry have confounded expert predictions of a price fall in the last two months. As prices have remained above $50 a barrel, Opec’s statements in particular have come under close scrutiny.