Building a world of
resilient communities.

MAIN LIST

 

Continuously less and less (paper abstract)

Abstract

The fundamental enabler of our industrialized American way of life is continuous access to enormous quantities of inexpensive nonrenewable natural resources (NNRs)—energy resources, metals, and minerals. Unfortunately, future NNR supplies will be insufficient to perpetuate our American way of life, for both geological reasons and geopolitical reasons.

Geologically, an ever-increasing number of NNRs are near, at, or past their peak production levels; NNR supplies available to the US are or will soon be in terminal decline.

Geopolitically, our foreign NNR suppliers, who are also our competitors for remaining global NNR supplies, are becoming less willing to export their increasingly scarce NNRs to the US in exchange for our continuously devaluing US dollars and our unrepayable US debt.

Since our continuously declining domestic NNR supplies are woefully inadequate to enable our American way of life, and our imported NNR supplies will decline continuously going forward, we will experience permanent NNR supply shortfalls in the not-too-distant future that will cause American society to collapse.

The following paper presents quantified evidence to support these contentions.

The paper provides a comprehensive analysis of 58 nonrenewable natural resources for which the US Geological Survey and US Energy Information Administration keep current and historic production, pricing, and utilization data. Specifically, the paper assesses the extent to which NNR supplies available to America are becoming increasingly scarce, and the extent to which America is vulnerable to an imminent and permanent NNR supply shortfall associated with each of the 58 analyzed NNRs.

Finally, the paper discusses the implications associated with NNR scarcity and NNR supply shortfalls on our American way of life and American society.

Supporting data tables, NNR myths, and possible sources of error associated with the paper’s analyses and findings are provided in the appendixes.

(Ed. note) Download the pdf here.

What do you think? Leave a comment below.

Sign up for regular Resilience bulletins direct to your email.

Take action!  

Find out more about Community Resilience. See our COMMUNITIES page
Start your own projects. See our RESOURCES page.
Help build resilience. DONATE NOW.

 

This is a community site and the discussion is moderated. The rules in brief: no personal abuse and no climate denial. Complete Guidelines.


No Mere Resolution: The Vermont Legislature and the Steady State Economy

In Vermont, a famously beautiful and progressive land that has also offered …

Regional Cities and the Curse of "Glocality"

One of the essential themes in my continuing study of and reflection upon …

Emmanuel and Elizabeth at Pocheco: "Let's change everything"

When you ring Pocheco, a company that makes 2 billion envelopes a year in …

Beyond Crisis

Community currencies created by groups in Spain in response to the economic …

Is Sustainability only for the Privileged?

Those proposing just sustainability argue that if sustainability only …

"The Divide" Shows Inequality on the Big Screen

Inequality represents simultaneously a cornerstone and a weak link in …

Planting Justice Creates Access to Living-wage Careers and Affordable Food

With the help of Slow Money Northern California, Planting Justice has …