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Articles: interest rates (12)

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Are We In The Midst Of An Epic Battle Between Interest Rates And The Oil Price?

What follows are the continuance of my research, discussions, observations and thoughts around the nexus of debts, interest rates and the oil price.

Oil and the Economy: Where Are We Headed in 2015-16?

The price of oil is down. How should we expect the economy to perform in 2015 and 2016?

Oil and the Global Slowdown

The world economy is slowing down and the authorities are fretting.

World Crude Oil Production and the Oil Price

How far the oil price will come down and for how long it will stay “low” is now anyone’s guess. A declining price results from weakening demand while supplies are improving.

World Oil Production at 3/31/2014-Where are We Headed?

The standard way to make forecasts of almost anything is to look at recent trends and assume that this trend will continue, at least for the next several years.

Debt: Eight Reasons This Time is Different

Academic researchers Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff have become famous for their book This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly and their earlier paper This Time is Different: A Panoramic View of Eight Centuries of Financial Crises. Their point, of course, is that the same …

The Negative Natural Interest Rate and Uneconomic Growth

In a recent speech to the International Monetary Fund economist Larry Summers argued that since near zero interest rates have not stimulated GDP growth sufficiently to reach full employment, we probably need a negative interest rate.

Amend the Fed: We Need a Central Bank that Serves Main Street

December 23rd marks the 100th anniversary of the Federal Reserve. Dissatisfaction with its track record has prompted calls to audit the Fed and end the Fed.

Dumb Money, Day 5

I've spent the weekend pondering how to bring this series to a conclusion and I decided that these last two pieces -- the optimistic and the pessimistic view of the future -- will, for the sake of focus, have to deal with only a couple of variables.

Dumb Money, Day 3

What is your house worth? What is a company's stock worth? What is your dollar worth? Nobody really knows because there isn't actually a market for any of those things.

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