Building a world of
resilient communities.



ODAC Newsletter - Sept 12

Welcome to the ODAC Newsletter, a weekly roundup from the Oil Depletion Analysis Centre, the UK registered charity dedicated to raising awareness of peak oil.

The OPEC meeting in Vienna this week brought two surprise announcements. The first that existing production quotas would now be enforced, leading to an overall reduction in output of approx 520,000 bpd. The second was that OPEC and Russia will be seeking closer ties, a situation which could result in a coalition controlling approximately half of the world’s oil.

The International Energy Agency report this week predicted worldwide demand of 87.6 million bpd in 2009, with OPEC output needing to be approx 31.8 million of this. The proposed OPEC cut would significantly tighten the supply/demand dynamic making the market vulnerable to any supply disruptions. It remains to be seen whether Saudi, in particular, is prepared to make the required reductions.

As US production continues to recover from the shutdowns necessitated by Hurricane Gustav, the threat of greater disruption in the largest area of refineries in the US due to the approaching Hurricane Ike is causing alarm. Oil prices have however continued to fall overall with continued focus on demand reduction due to the economic slowdown.

In the UK this week the government launched its long awaited fuel measures aimed at providing relief in the face of increasing energy costs. Responses to the package, which concentrates on assistance for energy saving measures, have been mixed. Energy conservation measures make sense and will benefit people in the long run. The huge rise in costs this year however, coupled with the possibility of further increases due to competition for gas this winter, in parallel with record profits for energy companies, had a lot of people expecting more. A situation which will not have been helped by Mark Owen-Lloyd, Head of Power Trading at E.On who was reported last night as commenting that “worst case scenario,” if prices remain high “it’ll make more money for us”.

Oil Falls, Gasoline Gains, as Ike Heads for Texas Refineries
Opec makes surprise cut to oil output
IEA Lowers Oil Demand Forecast as U.S. Curbs Spending
Opec plans closer links with Russia to control half of the world’s oil supplies
China marches past USA to stake a claim to Iraq's oil
Sarah Palin taxes put pipelines in jeopardy, say oil giants
Brussels told to pursue Azerbaijan pipe dream
Big oil price swings caused by speculators: report
Lula’s new lucre: Brazil may keep full control of offshore oil

Britain is being outbid for gas on the global market, energy experts say
How methane could spark a revolution
Groups move to tap a different pipeline
Shell in Iraqi gas deal worth up to $4bn
Total Sees Gazprom as 'Key' Partner for Russian Energy Projects

Cleared: Jury decides that threat of global warming justifies breaking the law
'India's coal reserves may exhaust by 2040'

EU could halt energy demand growth, says study
Europe to reaffirm biofuels targets

Brown unveils £910m fuel measures
Big fall in customer bills unlikely
One in four 'facing fuel poverty'
London borough offers free waste oil collections
Council push to buy bulk oil on futures market

Editorial Notes: Text & commentary at original

What do you think? Leave a comment below.

Sign up for regular Resilience bulletins direct to your email.

Take action!  

Find out more about Community Resilience. See our COMMUNITIES page
Start your own projects. See our RESOURCES page.
Help build resilience. DONATE NOW.


This is a community site and the discussion is moderated. The rules in brief: no personal abuse and no climate denial. Complete Guidelines.

The Most Important and Misleading Assumption in the World

Why should we make policy using economic models that don’t reflect …

How Can Fossil Fuel Supplies Be Constrained?

Academics gathered in Oxford this week to discuss how to constrain fossil …

As Nations Embrace Paris Agreement, World’s Existing Fossil Fuels Set to Exceed its Goals

Entitled “The Sky’s Limit: Why the Paris Climate Goals Require a …

Naomi Klein & the Let­down of the Leap Manifesto: Poli­tics Doesn't Trump Physics, Nor the Economics of Collapse (part 2/3)

Politics can be egalitarian when going up Hubbert's Curve, but it's a whole …

Carbon Tracker Analysis: ‘Renewables are Already Outcompeting Fossil Fuels’

Clean technologies are already cheaper, on average, than the incumbent …

Timeline: The Past, Present and Future of Germany’s Energiewende

The Energiewende (energy transition) is an internationally recognised …

The Sower's Way: the Path for the Future

Our paper on "The Sower's Way" has been published in the IOP …