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Fatih Birol (IEA) interview: ‘We have warned them’

Astrid SchneiderInternationale Politik (Journal of the German Council on Foreign Relations)
Original in German. 12-page article.

Fatih Birol: Prices will not immediately rise x-fold but gradually, so some time remains to adapt but longterm it is clear. If oil is finished in 2030, 2040 or 2050 doesn’t change a thing.

S: You say that?

F.B: Yes, one day it will definitely come to an end and I think we should leave oil before it leaves us. This should be our motto.

…. F.B. We sounded the alarm bells in Nov. 2007 and this Nov. with WEO 2008 the bells may well shrill much louder. … It is up to the governments, we have warned them. “

(April 2008)
Translation by “sorry” at TOD’s DrumBeat today. I read the rest of this long interview, using my high school German. Fatih Birol seems more outspoken than usual — this would be a good article to have available in English.

PDF version of interview. -BA

After the Peak: Peak oil film shows impact on local community

Jim McQuaid, Film website
Orange County, North Carolina is the setting for this docudrama about the end of cheap oil. Using a local TV news broadcast as its format, After The Peak drives home just how dependent we are on an ever-increasing supply of cheap oil, a dependency that has us on a collision course with the realities of oil supplies. After The Peak is a way to think locally about a global problem.

After The Peak is a glimpse of how the end of cheap oil is likely to impact your community.

Jim McQuaid made After The Peak because he is concerned with America’s addiction to cheap oil and because he could see that the time is coming when supporting our “habit” will become a huge problem. McQuaid has made a number of short films, mostly dramas about human situations we can all relate to. He brought a dramatic sensibility to this often dry subject. Instead of making a normal documentary, he was compelled to tell the story in a way everyone could relate to. He did this by making the story completely local.

The end of cheap oil could be told with dozens of graphs and talking heads discussing how many hundreds of thousands of barrels a day are consumed by X or Y or Z. But it’s hard for most folks to stay awake and engaged when they watch something like that. The best way to make it local and accessible was to to emulate the local news.
(April 2008)
More information and a trailer at film website. The DVD is for sale online there and at Amazon. Another trailer is on YouTube. -BA

Bartlett Delivers 42nd Peak Oil Special Order
Rep. Roscoe Bartlett, United States Congress
60m 52s

Washington, DC – Representative Roscoe Bartlett (R-MD)

Rep. Bartlett delivers his 42nd Special Order speech on peak oil, historical warnings predicted rising fuel prices and limited supply and why those warnings were ignored.

Related content found at:
(17 April 2008)

Future looks bleak at the peak

Jonathan Porter, The Australian
PEAK Oil. Remember the phrase. Either capped, like this: Peak Oil, or probably soon lower case: peak oil, as it comes into common usage.

… The idea behind the phrase is that we have already passed, or are about to pass, peak oil production on Earth

… As China and India come online we will go through the next trillion barrels by either 2030 or next Sunday, again depending on whom you talk to and how recently they got out of economists rehab. By the way, the next trillion barrels also happens to be our last trillion, and I don’t see anyone pumping more dinosaur fossils into the Earth’s crust.

Within four days of the world realising we are running out of oil there will be savages outside your front door, armed with spears, bent on carrying off your womenfolk.

Your property in the inner city will be worthless, because that is where most of the roaming armed bands will be concentrated.

Well, before all this happens, you will have to relocate to somewhere you can grow your own crops, raise your own swine and tend your own steak. A place you can lay mines, set up claymores, string grenades in trees, and dig spider holes and pits full of punji stakes to stop incoming marauders.

Or so the increasingly hysterical Peak Oil believers would have us believe.

Maybe I’ve steeped myself too thoroughly in Peak Oil lore, but it has made me think about buying 250 hectares or so well away from any population centre, stocking up the Prius with some canned goods and a bazooka or two, getting a couple of females of breeding age and clearing fields of fire around the house.
(25 March 2008)