Building a world of
resilient communities.

MAIN LIST

 

IEA “supply crunch” is not peak oil - Birol

[Excerpt]: There is no contradition between the International Energy Agency’s forecast of long term oil supply growth to 2030 and a “supply crunch” by 2015, according to its chief economist Fatih Birol. Mr Birol insisted today that the short term crisis would not be caused by a fundamental shortage of oil but by entirely man-made factors.

Speaking at the launch of the IEA’s latest World Energy Outlook in London, Mr Birol reiterated both the Agency’s long term forecast that oil production will reach 116 million barrels per day in 2030 - up from around 86 mb/d today - and the evidence that supply will fail to to meet demand much sooner. The IEA’s reference case demand forecast requires an additional 37.5 mb/d in gross production capacity by the middle of the next decade, but new projects announced so far by oil companies will add only 25 mb/d, leaving a shortfall of 12.5 mb/d...

Editorial Notes: About David Strahan:
About David Strahan is an award-winning investigative journalist and documentary film-maker who specializes in popularizing some of the most difficult and important stories in business and science. Since the early 1990s he has reported and produced extensively for the BBC’s Money Programme and Horizon strands. He is also the author of The Last Oil Shock: A Survival Guide to the Imminent Extinction of Petroleum Man, published by John Murray Ltd, and continues to write and broadcast about energy.
-BA

What do you think? Leave a comment below.

Sign up for regular Resilience bulletins direct to your email.

Take action!  

Start your own projects. See our RESOURCES page.
Make connections via our GROUPS page.
Help build resilience. DONATE NOW.

 

This is a community site and the discussion is moderated. The rules in brief: no personal abuse and no climate denial. Complete Guidelines.


Peak Oil Notes - Mar 5

A midweek update. Oil prices have been volatile this week as traders attempt …

The Paradox of Oil: The Cheaper it is, the More it Costs

While the exact timing of the current fall in prices may have come as a …

Stranded Assets in Oil and Gas a Reality

Though climate change will no doubt prove to be one aspect of stranded …

IEA report: US shale oil growth practically zero in 2017

US growth is seen to decline to a meagre 160 kb/d by 2017. That is plausible …

Richard Heinberg on Our Renewable Future

Richard Heinberg discusses our renewable future and how to get there.

Peak Oil Review - Mar 2

A weekly roundup of peak oil news, including: -Oil and the global economy …

Oil Prices Don’t Change Because of Rig Count

Oil prices don’t change based on weekly rig count reports. Yet every …