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Hirsch Report back on DOE website

Hirsch Report (PDF)

Several weeks ago the risk management study into Peak Oil known commonly as the Hirsch Report disappeared from the website of the U.S. Department of Energy's National Energy Technology Laboratory. After enquiries by Energy Bulletin editors the report has been returned to the website, albeit in a new, and temporary location. We were reassured that the document was one of many which by accident did not transfer during a website move in the December holidays. The report is now available at:

Reader dragon_central noted that the document (available widely on private websites) has also been archived by Cornell University:

An earlier DOE published report which describes Peak Oil, 'Strategic Significance of America's Oil Shale Resource - Volume I' prepared by the Office of Naval Petroleum and Oil Shale Reserves, has also disappeared from the DOE website, although we have not yet made enquiries about this one. (Previously at

This report is archived at the EV World website:


The Hirsch Report is a risk mitigation study on Peak Oil released in early 2005, commissioned by the US Department of Energy. Prepared by the Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC), and titled "Peaking of World Oil Production: Impacts, Mitigation and Risk Management", it is known commonly as the Hirsch Report after its primary author Robert L. Hirsch. The executive summary of the report warns that "as peaking is approached, liquid fuel prices and price volatility will increase dramatically, and, without timely mitigation, the economic, social, and political costs will be unprecedented. Viable mitigation options exist on both the supply and demand sides, but to have substantial impact, they must be initiated more than a decade in advance of peaking."

Editorial Notes: UPDATE (Feb 12). Reader MP says:
Did you know that two Hirsch articles appeared in World Oil magazine, (one of the most respected and non-sensationalist trade journals in the oil & gas industry) subsequent to the Feb 05 DOE report? They were subsets of the DOE article.
UPDATE (Feb 13). Reader BD has a clarification of the previous comment which said that the World Oil articles are a subset of the Hirsch report:
At least one [of the World Oil articles] is a new and alarming article; see: entitled "Shaping the peak of world oil production. The bell curve has a sharp crest, and you can't see it coming" with original text still at: World Oil.

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