Published on Resilience (

Jean Laherrere uses Hubbert linearization to estimate Bakken shale oil peak in 2014

Published by Crude Oil Peak on 2014-02-03
Original article: by Matt Mushalik

In his latest research on shale oil French oil geologist Jean Laherrere from ASPO France estimates a Bakken shale oil peak in 2014.
He uses a Hubbert linearization to calculate a total of 2,500 mb to be produced
In global terms, a total cumulative of 2.5 Gb is just around 10% of annual crude production and 1.3% of daily production.
Well productivity in Bakken is stagnant at around 130 b/d for a couple of years now.
There has been a peak in the number of drilling rigs. A shift of the rigs curve by 2 years suggests a production peak in 2014.
Jean’s research is in line with that published by David Hughes in November 2013:
Direct link to Laherrere article (PDF)


Content on this site is subject to our fair use notice.

Resilience is a program of Post Carbon Institute, a nonprofit organization dedicated to helping the world transition away from fossil fuels and build sustainable, resilient communities.

Source URL: